PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 11:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Pablo Hernández de Cos · —
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Stored reference
Pablo Hernández de Cos 31%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Pablo Hernández de Cos 31%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$632.6
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$502
Bid / Ask
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Pablo Hernández de CosSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 3:13 PM UTCFeb 8, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Pablo Hernández de Cos
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FutuurRules
Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council.
- A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- This market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.
