PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7°C or below 49%-0.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$968.6
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 12:30 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
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- 24h Vol
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+8.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt40.2%
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- Total Vol
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- Delcy Rodríguez+17.0pt30%
- Jorge Rodríguez4%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21??
- Polymarket prices 7°C or below at 49% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.