PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 87%+3.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.5K
Liquidity
$37.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 2:58 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- Any of Anthropic's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Fable, Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 6 or higher appears in the name or model identifier.
- For example, Claude Fable 6, Claude Opus 6, Claude Sonnet 6, or a later version such as Claude Fable 6.1 or Claude 7 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 6, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Opus 5, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 6 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify.
- A Mythos-branded release available only through Anthropic's verification or trusted-access programs, and task-specific products or restricted lines such as Claude Code, Claude Gov, or Claude Security, will not qualify on their own.
Open markets
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.6pt59%
- ChatGPT+2.4pt26%
- Grok-0.2pt6%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $67.9K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-13.0pt53%
- 1500+-18.0pt22%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- No-8.5pt72.3%
- Yes+8.5pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $194.6K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude75.5%
- ChatGPT+2.0pt16.4%
- Gemini-1.0pt2.7%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $329K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,84%
- November 30,83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.6M
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will any company achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- English Premier League Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Claude 6 released by which date??
- Polymarket prices December at 87% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Claude 6 released by which date? resolve?
- Claude 6 released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Claude 6 released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).