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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Naoya 100%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.2K
Liquidity
$112K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 13, 26, 5:05 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Naoya100%
China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Naoya100%
100%
100%
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Jesse Flores in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Jesse Flores.
- This market will resolve to 'Jesse Flores' if Jesse Flores advances against Naoya Honda.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.