Current implied probability
29°C 50%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7K
Liquidity
$60.1K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 4:58 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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0%
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15??
- Polymarket prices 29°C at 50% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.