3rd largest private company end of September?
8.4 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffAIBusiness & Corporate22d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
ByteDance 90%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
27.9 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+10.9 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 11:23 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
