Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlphabet (Google) 84%+1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+9.4 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 7:24 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of September 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @ln2cAICQ6d (this market)
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.6pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $122.3K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 27,510 or above99%
- 28,550 or above98%
- 29,130 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $119.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.2K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,650 or above99%
- 7,660 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $55K
- 24h Vol
- $54.8K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.1%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.5%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+32.5pt98%
- Up-32.5pt2%
- Total Vol
- $48K
- 24h Vol
- $45.3K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 3rd largest company end of September 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Alphabet (Google) at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 3rd largest company end of September 2026? resolve?
- 3rd largest company end of September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is 3rd largest company end of September 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of September 2026, as of market close.