Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 8:59 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Comcast/Xfinity partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing
- WordPress powers something like 40% of the web.
- It's arguably more "critical software infrastructure" than half the named partners.
- JPMorganChase is in there — a bank — but not the CMS that runs nearly half the internet? The Linux Foundation is a partner, and WordPress runs on Linux, but WordPress itself has its own massive attack surface: plugins, themes, the core PHP codebase, the REST API, xmlrpc, wp-admin — it's one of the most targeted pieces of software on earth.
- And WordPress's security model is, to be blunt, a mess.
- The plugin ecosystem is the real vulnerability surface, and it's largely maintained by independent developers with wildly varying security practices.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $154.3K
- 24h Vol
- $116.6K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $374.6K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.0pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? resolve?
- Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing