Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 19, 24, 1:50 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26M
- 24h Vol
- $717.8K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+1.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.5pt6%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–33937.1%
- 340–354+3.5pt25.8%
- 310–324-5.3pt21.6%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+0.5pt68.6%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.4%
- Increase+1.0pt2.9%
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035? resolve?
- Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.