Trillions: Will there be two more trillionaires besides Elon Musk by February 28, 2029? (2/28/29)
EquitiesOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTechSpace2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.3%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 26, 3:47 PM UTCFeb 27, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before February 28, 2029, at least two individuals other than Elon Musk are officially reported to have a net worth of $1.00 trillion USD ($1,000,000,000,000) or more.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Sources of Truth: The primary sources for resolving this market will be the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List and the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
- Validation: If either of these lists officially records an individual's net worth at or above $1.00 trillion (which may be displayed as $1,000 billion, $1,000.0B, or $1.00T), that individual will be counted.
- Exclusion: Elon Musk is excluded from the count of "two more trillionaires." Any other distinct individuals (e.g., Jeff Bezos, Jensen Huang, Gautam Adani, Larry Page) who reach the milestone will count toward the target.
