What are the current odds for Will there be more robots than humans by 2100??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 80.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will there be more robots than humans by 2100? resolve?

Will there be more robots than humans by 2100? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is Will there be more robots than humans by 2100? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: By 'robot,' I mean a humanoid machine with human-like (or above) intelligence and mobility.

JavaScript is disabled. Core navigation and editorial pages remain available, but live market widgets, charts, search, and personalization features may be limited.

Paper trade this

Will there be more robots than humans by 2100?

One-OffAI

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 80.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jan 26, 23, 6:17 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 4:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

By 'robot,' I mean a humanoid machine with human-like (or above) intelligence and mobility.

Report a data issue with this market

Will there be more robots than humans by 2100?

Will there be more robots than humans by 2100?

Open markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?