Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54.8% as of November 12, 2026.

When does Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031? resolve?

Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.

How is Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2030, which only has one meaningful human employee.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.25–$1.5T+2.7pt35.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.7pt26.2%
• <$1.25T+1.1pt18.4%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.8M

24h Vol

$693.5K

KALSHI

Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

• Ian Buck30.5%
• Colette Kress26.5%
• Rene Haas5.5%

POLYMARKET

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• Apple-1.9pt81%
• NVIDIA17%
• Alphabet+0.1pt1%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+5.0pt79%
• ↑$1.75T+9.5pt46%
• ↑$2.0T+8.5pt30%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $100M-0.4pt97%
• $200M-0.6pt97%
• $300M94%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest Company end of November 2026?

• Apple+4.5pt96%
• NVIDIA-3.3pt4%
• Alphabet0%

+8 more outcomes

• Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
• Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
• Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
• Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
• Cfbtot 26 NOV 11 Umatol
• Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?
• 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?