Current community forecast
Yes 75.5%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 17, 23, 2:31 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurWill there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
KalshiRules
The destination does not necessarily need to be the orbit of another star, but the mission should enter interstellar space.
- For the purposes of this market, "interstellar space" begins simply at 150 AU from the Sun.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250? resolve?
- Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2250.
- How is Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The destination does not necessarily need to be the orbit of another star, but the mission should enter interstellar space.
