Will the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declare Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease) as eradicated by 2030?
Health & MedicineOne-Off4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 23, 11:06 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
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Background: Dracunculiasis, commonly known as Guinea worm disease, is a parasitic infection that occurs in certain remote parts of Africa.
- It is transmitted when people consume water contaminated with Guinea worm larvae.
- The WHO has been actively working to eradicate this disease for several decades, and significant progress has been made, with a dramatic reduction in cases.
- Dracunculiasis is especially hard to exterminate because the disease can be carried by stray or wild animals.
- This prediction market question invites participants to speculate on whether the WHO will be able to officially declare the disease as eradicated by the end of the year 2030.
- Resolve Conditions:
