Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 21, 24, 11:31 AM UTCDec 31, 99, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.
- The market will resolve YES if the Western Gorilla is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_gorilla
- IUCN assessment
- https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/9404/136250858
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? resolve?
- Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.
- How is Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.