Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.8%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 24, 1:26 PM UTCDec 31, 99, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- Note: The market is about the Koala species, regardless of subspecies.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koala
- IUCN red list of threatened species: https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/16892/166496779
- Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
Open markets
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+2 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
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- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
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- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
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- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2032+44.0pt92%
- Before 2028+44.0pt59%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
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- before October+64.0pt98%
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- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? resolve?
- Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.
- How is Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.