Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96.3% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2026? resolve?

Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES if the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment is less than 90 points in every month from January 2026 to December 2026.

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POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34-10.1pt83.8%
• 35 to 49+11.4pt15.2%
• 50 or more-1.3pt1%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$82.1K

24h Vol

$11.3K

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

• No85.5%
• Yes-3.0pt14.5%

Total Vol

$423.9K

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt98%
• Yes-0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.8M

24h Vol

$4.2K

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000-3.0pt76.5%
• Above 7000-8.0pt37.5%

POLYMARKET

Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?

• December 3114%
• October 31-4.0pt1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$14K

24h Vol

$1.7K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt96%
• Yes+0.1pt4%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$1.7K

• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• Pandemic in 2026?
• Anthropic lab leak by which date?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• New pandemic before 2028?
• How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?