Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 26, 23, 5:15 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
KalshiWill permanent daylight saving time be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill the US adopt and keep permanant Daylight Saving Time, or permanent Standard time, by EoY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
KalshiWill the EU abolish daylight saving time by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the EU abolish daylight saving time?
Manifold MarketsRules
The EU has been discussing the end of Daylight Savings Time (DST) for a while - there was a proposal in 2018.
- Background info here: https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2022/10/28/when-will-the-eu-end-seasonal-clock-changes-only-time-will-tell
- For this to resolve in the positive, it requires an "EU-wide" scheme to be enacted, not just some handful of EU countries.
- However, there might be a small number of countries which opt-out of an EU-wide scheme, and that would not prevent me from resolving positively.
