Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
One-OffScience3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.4%
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43
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binary
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Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 5, 22, 7:29 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
It's a problem a child could understand.
- Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive.
- This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)? resolve?
- Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It's a problem a child could understand.