Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56.7% as of November 4, 2026.

When does Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026? resolve?

Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://manifold.markets/embed/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-turing-test-by-202)Will that market go above 80% by EOY 2026?

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+4.0pt57%
• Claude+7.0pt37%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt5.8%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$17M

24h Vol

$234K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt23.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.0pt16.5%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+2.0pt69.1%
• Anthropic+2.4pt30.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-0.5pt57.7%
• Anthropic+3.5pt35%
• OpenAI5.2%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-2.0pt91%
• December 15,-2.0pt89%
• November 25,+1.5pt84%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T94%
• ↑$1.75T-2.0pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-0.5pt64%

+11 more outcomes

• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Best AI this month
• Time's Person of the Year for 2026
• ChatGPT App Downloads in October
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 3, 2026
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Best AI this week
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?