Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade?
One-OffEquities3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 64%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 23, 1:25 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
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The VIX Index, that measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 for an ~1 month period since COVID has been trading significantly higher than the levels it traded during the 2010s.
- This market resolves to YES if the 200D moving average (preferably measured by Koyfin) his 14 at any point during the 2020s (ending at Dec 31st 2029)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade? resolve?
- Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The VIX Index, that measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 for an ~1 month period since COVID has been trading significantly higher than the levels it traded during the 2010s.