Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?
EquitiesOne-OffTechSpaceCorporate Actions2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 95.1%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 12:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketWill Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets5x ABS(Day Change %(SPCX)) The 1st Market Day After 1st Ship Catch Attempt.
Manifold MarketsIn the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if SpaceX (SPCX) Class A common stock, traded on the NASDAQ, trades at or below $75.00 at any point during regular or extended trading hours on or before December 31, 2026.
- The market will resolve to NO if the stock remains strictly above $75.00 through the close of the final trading day of 2026 (December 31, 2026).
- The primary source of truth is the historical stock data for SPCX on Google Finance or Yahoo Finance.
- Any intraday or extended-hours transaction recorded by major financial databases (such as Bloomberg, NASDAQ, or Yahoo Finance) at or below $75.00 is sufficient to trigger a YES resolution.
- If any stock splits, reverse splits, or stock dividends occur before the resolution date, the $75.00 threshold will be adjusted proportionally to reflect the split.
