Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?
EquitiesOne-OffTechSpaceCorporate Actions2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.5%
Forecasters
83
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJun 12, 26, 5:26 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, the trading price of SpaceX Class A Common Stock (Nasdaq: SPCX) drops below $100.00 USD.
- This includes regular trading hours, pre-market, and after-hours trading.
- The primary source of truth for the stock price of SPCX will be Yahoo Finance.
- If a stock split, reverse split, stock dividend, or other recapitalization event occurs, the $100.00 target threshold will be adjusted proportionally (e.g., a 2-for-1 stock split would adjust the target threshold to $50.00).
- If the stock does not drop below $100.00 (or its split-adjusted equivalent) at any point by the close of the final trading session of 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
