Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?
EquitiesOne-OffTechSpaceCorporate Actions3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.1%
Forecasters
79
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 12, 26, 5:26 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, the trading price of SpaceX Class A Common Stock (Nasdaq: SPCX) drops below $100.00 USD.
- This includes regular trading hours, pre-market, and after-hours trading.
- The primary source of truth for the stock price of SPCX will be Yahoo Finance.
- If a stock split, reverse split, stock dividend, or other recapitalization event occurs, the $100.00 target threshold will be adjusted proportionally (e.g., a 2-for-1 stock split would adjust the target threshold to $50.00).
- If the stock does not drop below $100.00 (or its split-adjusted equivalent) at any point by the close of the final trading session of 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.5pt77.7%
- Apple+0.3pt13.6%
- Alphabet-0.5pt6.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.8M
- 24h Vol
- $122.1K
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- No70%
- Yes30%
- Total Vol
- $94.5K
- 24h Vol
- $86.6K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99+1.0pt17.5%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-1.0pt14.6%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.7%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
LIMITLESSOccidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes72.5%
- No27.5%
- Total Vol
- $40.4K
- 24h Vol
- $30.7K
LIMITLESSEQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes72.5%
- No27.5%
- Total Vol
- $27.3K
- 24h Vol
- $25.5K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.2pt59.2%
- SpaceX-2.5pt38.8%
- OpenAI2%
+9 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria