Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.4% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035? resolve?

Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt97%
• Yes+0.1pt3%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$5.9K

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-2.0pt7.5%
• Before December 1, 20267%
• Before November 1, 2026+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

• 12.5% to 15%49.1%
• 15% to 17.5%+13.0pt34%
• 10% to 12.5%-2.0pt13.2%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No93.5%
• Yes+2.0pt6.5%

Total Vol

$987.3K

24h Vol

$3.2K

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No96%
• Yes4%

Total Vol

$114.5K

24h Vol

$2.6K

KALSHI

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

• On Nov 16, 2026+8.0pt93.5%
• On Mar 15, 202766.5%
• On Nov 22, 202769%

• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
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• Plague pandemic in 2026?
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