Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
InflationOne-OffForeign ExchangeHealth & Medicine4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.6%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 2, 24, 7:29 PM UTCMar 5, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Resolves as YES if the annual cost of Semaglutide drops below $2000 (US) in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Various factors such as discounts and generics may contribute to the price reduction before January 1st, 2031.
- This question primarily focuses on the out-of-pocket cost for an uninsured patient to account for variations in national healthcare reimbursement and prescription policies.
- Semaglutide questions:
- @/RemNi/will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-100
- @/RemNi/will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200 (this question)
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $629K
- 24h Vol
- $35.7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $388.5K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,000-1.0pt44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $90.3K
- 24h Vol
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- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031? resolve?
- Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on March 5, 2031.
- How is Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if the annual cost of Semaglutide drops below $2000 (US) in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.