Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 90% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? resolve?

Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2041.

How is Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.1pt98%
• Anthropic-1.6pt1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$239.8K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+5.8pt53.4%
• Claude-11.7pt32.3%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+10.5pt23%
• 2028-1.0pt17%
• 2027-6.5pt8%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-10.0pt28%
• 2028-12.0pt26%
• 2027-26.0pt12%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.3pt20.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T20.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+3.5pt53%
• Anthropic-8.5pt33%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6%

+12 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?