Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 61% as of October 18, 2026.

When does Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization? resolve?

Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2036.

How is Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Strong AGI as determined by the official market and/or societal consensus

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.7pt74.5%
• Anthropic+3.5pt25.5%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.9M

24h Vol

$176.3K

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.4%+44.0pt99.5%
• Above 18.1%+11.0pt99.5%
• Above 17.1%99.5%

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 24.1%+48.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.9%+20.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.2%99.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.3pt46.8%
• Gemini-1.1pt37.7%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini99.5%
• Claude0.5%
• ChatGPT0.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

• Above 180T tokens+3.0pt2.5%
• Above 166T tokens-22.0pt1.5%
• Above 168T tokens-7.0pt

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• AI bubble burst by which date?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)