Current community forecast
No 77.4%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 23, 4:24 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if, by the beginning of 2030, no major regulator (EU-based or US-based) has mandated that a subsidiary split from Alphabet.
- No otherwise
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030? resolve?
- Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if, by the beginning of 2030, no major regulator (EU-based or US-based) has mandated that a subsidiary split from Alphabet.