Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2026 PS–Place Publique presidential primary?
CommoditiesElectionOne-OffPoliticsTrade PolicyTechEurope26dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 71%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 3:23 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Raphaël Glucksmann is declared the winner of the 2026 presidential primary organized by France's Parti Socialiste and Place Publique.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use the final official result, including any runoff.
- Withdrawal, disqualification, cancellation of the primary, or selection of another candidate resolves NO.
- Primary sources: Parti Socialiste and Place Publique.
- The market closes before first-round voting begins.
