Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 10:49 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 33.8%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleMar 27, 23, 12:51 PMMar 27, 31, 9:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes34%
Volume trend
$238Jul 112d of dataJul 12
Related Markets
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
$0Before Jan 1, 2027: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
UK social media ban in effect by which date?
$0June 30, 2027: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?
$50Yes: 17.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSTwitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
$409July 1 2025: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?
$200Yes: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
$56.8Yes: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.