Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 27, 23, 12:48 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This prediction market resolves positively when the Polish government agrees to a new reduction of EU member state veto privileges before January 1st, 2030.
- This agreement should be binding and implemented, and cover a significant area of EU decision-making (e.g. foreign policy, justice, home affairs, or budget).
- If no such agreement is reached before the deadline, the prediction market will resolve negatively.
