Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026?
AIOne-Off1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.8%
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1
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 1:11 AM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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In response to independent researchers discovering OpenAI's LLMs using outside wikis to coordinate tasks, OpenAI promised that they are working on a framework for disclosing such incidents and "will share it in upcoming weeks".
- Will this framework be released by the end of October? To resolve yes, it must be officially released on openai's website and have at least some objective criteria for determining that an incident will be publically disclosed.
- A document that leaves disclosure entirely to OpenAI's judgment resolves NO.
- Failure to publish any relevant document is also NO.
- OpenAI (@OpenAI) on X
- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026? resolve?
- Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.
- How is Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In response to independent researchers discovering OpenAI's LLMs using outside wikis to coordinate tasks, OpenAI promised that they are working on a framework for disclosing such incidents and "will share it in upcoming weeks".