Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 50.8%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 24, 4:04 AM UTCJan 16, 40, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsFed decision in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRules
Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
- If Fuentes claims to be a Fed and it is not confirmed by the relevant agency, I will resolve Yes after three months unless there is strong disproving evidence.
- If Fuentes does not admit it and I consider the evidence inconclusive, I will resolve to No.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? resolve?
- Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 16, 2040.
- How is Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
