Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.1%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Feb 19, 24, 4:04 AM UTCJan 16, 40, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
will a nick fuentes sex tape with gay acts release this year as milo claims?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Fuentes go on Joe Rogan before the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the Milo Yiannopoulos vs Nick Fuentes Baby-Off
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes be excommunicated by the Catholic Church before 2035?
Manifold MarketsFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
- If Fuentes claims to be a Fed and it is not confirmed by the relevant agency, I will resolve Yes after three months unless there is strong disproving evidence.
- If Fuentes does not admit it and I consider the evidence inconclusive, I will resolve to No.
