Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.1%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 24, 4:04 AM UTCJan 16, 40, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRules
Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
- If Fuentes claims to be a Fed and it is not confirmed by the relevant agency, I will resolve Yes after three months unless there is strong disproving evidence.
- If Fuentes does not admit it and I consider the evidence inconclusive, I will resolve to No.
