Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.4%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 25, 8:50 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Acting administrator for NASA has announced that the agency will be directed to put a nuclear reactor in the moon by 2030
- This is thought to be a part of a plan to have a permanent human presence in the moon
- https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/04/science/nasa-moon-nuclear-reactor.html
- Notes on resolution
- Will resolve YES if
- A nuclear reactor is built on the moon and generates power by the end of 31st December 2030
