Will more than 30 doctors be criminally charged for providing life/health of the mother abortion-related care by 2030?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.9%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingDec 18, 25, 8:24 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Sparked by the attempt to formalize a disagreement between me and an Other Feminisms reader.
- Our original bet (which she is taking at 70% odds) is:
- By the end of 2030, more than 30 doctors will be charged for violating a criminal statute related to providing abortion-related care.
- These charges count for our bet specifically if the doctor (or hospital) claims the sanctioned care was necessary to preserve the life or health of the mother.
