Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.9%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingMay 21, 23, 10:30 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
