Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 80.9%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 23, 10:30 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035? resolve?
- Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2036.
- How is Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.