Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTechBusiness & Corporate12mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 97.4%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 23, 10:28 AM UTCSep 4, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
