Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

One-OffRegulation Tech Politics Geopolitics4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 87%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Jun 23, 24, 7:05 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations.

Will resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7.

Report a data issue with this market

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

One-OffRegulation Tech Politics Geopolitics4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 87%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Jun 23, 24, 7:05 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030? resolve?: Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
How is Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations.

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Frequently asked questions

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