Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
RegulationAITechPoliticsGeopolitics3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 9, 24, 7:39 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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PolymarketRules
Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.
- That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
- If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
- If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
- The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
- Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.
