Will @ManiFed or @ManiFedTrading experience any sort of data breach before 2027?
QuarterlyCrime & JusticeTech2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 21, 25, 7:32 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves yes if ManiFed experiences a data breach on their website **********.org (revealed in the near future)
- (e.g. API keys leaked, hacked, anything else significant along those lines)
- Created because of @Quroe's good idea
- https://manifold.markets/post/manifed-user-input-survey-m25-bount#U0luqzOc
- Update 2025-12-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a SQL injection vulnerability (or similar security bug) is discovered and tested to the point of confirming its existence (e.g., getting an SQL syntax error from an API response), this will resolve YES even if no actual data was exfiltrated, as the vulnerability itself constitutes evidence that data could have been breached.
- Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a vulnerability is discovered and confirmed (e.g., SQL injection tested to the point of getting an error response), this will resolve YES even if no users were actually affected or data was actually exfiltrated, as the vulnerability itself constitutes evidence that data could have been breached.
