Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 77.1% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? resolve?

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolve to YES if by Jan. 1, 2030, any journal with the Science or Nature family of journals announces or implements a policy in which LLMs (or another type of AI model) are used to provide peer-review feedback to authors.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.3pt85.9%
• Anthropic+5.2pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$151K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt19.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt18.4%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt89.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.7pt57%
• Gemini-4.3pt31.3%
• ChatGPT-1.3pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+7.0pt84%
• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• November 30,-4.0pt60%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-7.5pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.3%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI this week
• DeepSeek market share this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI market share this week
• Anthropic market share this week
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?