Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035?
YearlyHealth & Medicine9yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.9%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 29, 25, 5:27 PM UTCDec 30, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
According to official data published on an official web-site.
- For example, at the "U.S. State Life Tables" https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.htm
- In 2019 the highest life expectancy was in the states of Hawaii (80.9 years), California (80.9 years), and New York (80.7 years).
- You can use tables and charts at Wikipedia for estimation: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_life_expectancy 2035 including
- Update 2025-04-29 (PST): * United States Mortality DataBase (https://usa.mortality.org) publishes state life expectancy estimates approximately one year earlier than the CDC’s U.S. State Life Tables.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035? resolve?
- Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2035.
- How is Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to official data published on an official web-site.