Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042?
AIOne-Off16yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.9%
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3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 14, 26, 12:05 AM UTCDec 31, 42, 11:59 PM UTC
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Both Neuropixels and Axoft’s Fleuron are penetrating neural interfaces, not ECoG.
- The clean distinction is:
- ECoG sits on the cortical surface and records broader population activity.
- Neuropixels uses a thin shank inserted into brain tissue.
- The standard 1.0 probe is a 10 mm long, 70 × 24 µm shank with dense recording sites for action potentials and LFPs.
- (Neuropixels NEW)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042? resolve?
- Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2042.
- How is Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Both Neuropixels and Axoft’s Fleuron are penetrating neural interfaces, not ECoG.