Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027?
RegulationOne-Off6moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.9%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 9:32 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 1.8 GWh by 2027-03-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-03-31 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2025-10-02 to 2026-12-31
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
Open markets
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- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
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- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
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- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
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- $122.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027? resolve?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria