Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.4%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 9, 23, 8:22 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?
Manifold MarketsTdi-11861 (a fast-acting male contraceptive) approved for human clinical trials by the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many clinical trials will have started in Prospera by Dec 31, 2026?
FutuurWill a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Success is defined as being granted a license by a medical regulator to market the medicine in at least one developed country.
- https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20230609/p2a/00m/0sc/026000c https://dentistry.co.uk/2023/07/14/tooth-regrowth-medicine-set-to-enter-clinical-trials/
- [link preview]
Open markets
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1M
- 24h Vol
- $41.8K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt56%
- September-10.0pt32%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $126.8K
- 24h Vol
- $9.7K
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Total Vol
- $765.6K
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-6.0pt50%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 20277%
- December 31, 2026+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $101.2K
- 24h Vol
- $2.8K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6K
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62.4% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed? resolve?
- Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Success is defined as being granted a license by a medical regulator to market the medicine in at least one developed country.