Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 80%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleApr 8, 26, 6:51 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the website located at https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ is accessible and returns a standard HTTP 200 OK status code on December 31, 2026.
- If the website is inaccessible, redirects to a different domain, or returns an error status code (e.g., 404, 500) on that date, the market resolves to NO.
- This market concerns the continued operation of the specific web domain clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools.
- As of April 2026, little public information is available regarding the long-term hosting or organizational status of this specific URL.
- Traders should consider the typical volatility of experimental or niche web projects and the potential for domain expiration or service discontinuation over the remainder of the 2026 calendar year.