Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 95%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 6:20 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th and was released August 12th.
- Currently, 4.7 is slated for early September.
- https://www.reddit.com/r/cursor/comments/1v924ah/grok_46_around_august_7_and_grok_47_likely_early/
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.2K
- 24h Vol
- $64.9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.1pt15.8%
- Gemini+0.1pt6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.2M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%91%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt41%
- Above 5.6%+10.0pt20%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $67K
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 22.7%99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 23.6%-1.0pt95%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $80.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? resolve?
- Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th and was released August 12th.