Will Elon Musk be the richest man on earth by the end of 2026?
Corporate ActionsYearlyBusiness & CorporateTechSpaceManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (97.4%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 10:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes97.4%
No2.5999999999999943%
Won
Lost
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk is listed as the richest person in the world on Forbes's World Billionaires List as of December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by the official Forbes billionaires ranking published for year-end 2026.
- If Forbes does not publish a year-end 2026 list, the most recent official Forbes billionaires list from 2026 will be used.
- The market resolves NO if any other individual is ranked as wealthier than Musk on that list.
- As of the 2026 Forbes World Billionaires List, Elon Musk tops the ranking with a $839 billion net worth.
