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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky use AGI to figure out why he was wrong?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
Will an AI-generated song about Bitcoin reach 1M streams before 2027?
[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?
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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-any-of-tAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
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