Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 12, 26, 8:03 AM UTCJan 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if there is a grant to MIRI by Coefficient Giving dated to between the start of 2026 and the end of 2028 listed on Coefficient Giving's site at the time when the first grant from 2029 is listed, or if Coefficient Giving no longer lists some grants but it is a matter of public record that CG has made such a grant.
- Grants made by Dustin Moskovitz, Cari Tuna, or other people tied to Coefficient Giving in their personal capacities rather than through CG do not count for the purposes of resolution.